Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.857565 2.118120 2.404119 2.741673 3.129621 3.562042 4.081296
2025-10-05 1.542317 1.898554 2.322032 2.863933 3.540984 4.361604 5.435694
2025-10-12 1.330910 1.747076 2.276183 3.001425 3.974745 5.242954 7.032326
2025-10-19 1.148578 1.593078 2.191809 3.062809 4.306953 6.034263 8.638788
2025-10-26 1.007105 1.465866 2.115964 3.112782 4.617819 6.829393 10.369778
2025-11-02 0.861283 1.307450 1.968369 3.029756 4.712747 7.313725 11.706344
2025-11-09 0.728374 1.147485 1.793163 2.873600 4.663415 7.557510 12.686961
2025-11-16 0.648237 1.057323 1.711174 2.848513 4.812215 8.126984 14.279421
2025-11-23 0.575671 0.969211 1.619751 2.792344 4.895719 8.590504 15.749213
2025-11-30 0.547540 0.951190 1.641056 2.929331 5.329963 9.718530 18.597107
2025-12-07 0.512787 0.916949 1.629306 3.004010 5.658251 10.694840 21.306822
2025-12-14 0.468881 0.860864 1.571506 2.984882 5.804460 11.342440 23.459170
2025-12-21 0.415852 0.783196 1.467554 2.869038 5.755207 11.617928 24.927994
2025-12-28 0.399042 0.772231 1.488013 3.000533 6.223743 13.013235 29.057351
2026-01-04 0.384907 0.764734 1.514112 3.146709 6.744003 14.596084 33.897729
2026-01-11 0.363464 0.739992 1.502635 3.212152 7.098630 15.870460 38.250661
2026-01-18 0.342871 0.714565 1.486597 3.265181 7.432420 17.146975 42.844213
2026-01-25 0.312126 0.664209 1.412156 3.178104 7.429512 17.633760 45.524586
2026-02-01 0.278531 0.604047 1.309848 3.013998 7.219543 17.587114 46.789822
2026-02-08 0.258999 0.572946 1.268430 2.987675 7.342804 18.386913 50.504500
2026-02-15 0.238994 0.538678 1.216156 2.928639 7.375556 18.959838 53.691202
2026-02-22 0.234399 0.539441 1.244794 3.072717 7.953188 21.057058 61.718946
2026-03-01 0.225730 0.529662 1.247406 3.151269 8.368636 22.780723 68.976635